Volume 12, Issue 8 (August 2025), Pages: 273-286
----------------------------------------------
Original Research Paper
Predicting stunting incidence in Pidie, Indonesia using SEM-PLS and GIS: A multilevel analysis of determinants
Author(s):
Putri Ilham Sari 1, Herlina Dimiati 2, *, Sofia Sofia 1, Muhammad Subianto 3
Affiliation(s):
1Doctoral Program in Medical Science, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh, Indonesia 2Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh, Indonesia 3Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh, Indonesia
Full text
Full Text - PDF
* Corresponding Author.
Corresponding author's ORCID profile: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3553-2301
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
https://doi.org/10.21833/ijaas.2025.08.025
Abstract
Stunting is a complex child health issue caused by poor nutrition, infections, and environmental factors. The Pidie District in Aceh, Indonesia, has been identified as a high-priority area for stunting intervention, with five sub-districts showing high prevalence rates. This study aims to identify the key determinants of stunting at the individual, household, and community levels and to develop a predictive model for stunting incidence in these areas. Structural Equation Modeling-Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were used to analyze the causal relationships and spatial distribution of stunting. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire and total sampling method, involving 988 mother-child pairs across Tangse (211), Tiro (46), Kembang Tanjong (321), Simpang Tiga (361), and Mutiara Timur (49). SEM-PLS results indicated that stunting is consistent with the Conceptual Childhood Stunting Model and the Social Determinants of Health (CSDH) framework, with the model explaining 73.2% of the variance in stunting cases (R² = 0.732). GIS mapping showed that Kembang Tanjong had the highest number of cases (184), while Tiro had the lowest (25). The main contributing factors were individual characteristics, household socioeconomic status, and community conditions. These findings suggest that targeted interventions addressing local risk factors, along with improvements in nutrition, healthcare access, and socioeconomic development, are essential to reduce stunting in the Pidie District.
© 2025 The Authors. Published by IASE.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Keywords
Child stunting, Determinant factors, SEM-PLS, GIS mapping, Pidie District
Article history
Received 17 February 2025, Received in revised form 13 July 2025, Accepted 4 August 2025
Acknowledgment
The authors wish to express their profound gratitude to the sub-district heads, village leaders, health center personnel, and the communities within the five sub-districts of Tangse, Tiro, Kembang Tanjong, Simpang Tiga, and Mutiara Timur for their invaluable contributions to this study. Furthermore, we sincerely appreciate the supervisors, examiners, and promoters’ guidance and constructive feedback, which have substantially enhanced this research's quality and scientific rigor.
Compliance with ethical standards
Ethical considerations
This study received approval from the Research Ethics Committee of Syiah Kuala University, Darussalam, Banda Aceh, Indonesia, under number 109/EA/FK/2023. Moreover, before data collection, enumerators underwent training in stunting assessment methodologies conducted by faculty members from Syiah Kuala University to guarantee the accuracy and reliability of data collection. Data collection was organized based on the availability of respondents, aligning with prior agreements established between participants and enumerators. This methodology ensured the data's validity and upheld ethical standards concerning respondent engagement.
Conflict of interest: The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Citation:
Sari PI, Dimiati H, Sofia S, and Subianto M (2025). Predicting stunting incidence in Pidie, Indonesia using SEM-PLS and GIS: A multilevel analysis of determinants. International Journal of Advanced and Applied Sciences, 12(8): 273-286
Permanent Link to this page
Figures
Fig. 1 Fig. 2
Fig. 3 Fig. 4 Fig. 5 Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Tables
Table 1 Table 2
Table 3
Table 4
Table 5
Table 6
Table 7
Table 8
Table 9
Table 10
----------------------------------------------
References (40)
- Abdurrahman A and Putra A (2024). Nurses' knowledge and attitudes towards hand hygiene in Aceh, Indonesia: A correlational study among surgical nurses. International Journal of Advanced and Applied Sciences, 11(2): 212–218. https://doi.org/10.21833/ijaas.2024.02.022
[Google Scholar]
- Ahmed KY, Agho KE, Page A et al. (2021). Mapping geographical differences and examining the determinants of childhood stunting in Ethiopia: A Bayesian geostatistical analysis. Nutrients, 13(6): 2104. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu13062104
[Google Scholar]
PMid:34205375 PMCid:PMC8234472
- Akombi BJ, Agho KE, Hall JJ, Wali N, Renzaho AM, and Merom D (2017). Stunting, wasting and underweight in sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 14(8): 863. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14080863
[Google Scholar]
PMid:28788108 PMCid:PMC5580567
- Alzahrani NA, Abdullah SNHS, Adnan N, Ariffin KAZ, Mukred M, Mohamed I, and Wahab S (2024). Geographic information systems adoption model: A partial least square-structural equation modeling analysis approach. Heliyon, 10(15): e35039. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35039
[Google Scholar]
PMid:39170420 PMCid:PMC11336337
- Ayuningtyas D, Hapsari D, Rachmalina R, Amir V, Rachmawati R, and Kusuma D (2022). Geographic and socioeconomic disparity in child undernutrition across 514 districts in Indonesia. Nutrients, 14(4): 843. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu14040843
[Google Scholar]
PMid:35215492 PMCid:PMC8874971
- Dao MC, Thiron S, Messer E et al. (2020). Cultural influences on the regulation of energy intake and obesity: A qualitative study comparing food customs and attitudes to eating in adults from France and the United States. Nutrients, 13(1): 63. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu13010063
[Google Scholar]
PMid:33379179 PMCid:PMC7824151
- Djuraidah A, Amelia M, and Anisa R (2023). Estimation of factors affecting stunting cases in West Java in 2021 using negative binomial spatial regression. Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi, 20(1): 41-51. https://doi.org/10.20956/j.v20i1.26984
[Google Scholar]
- Elisia L, Etika R, Aprilawati D, and Mahiroh H (2023). The relationship between exclusive breastfeeding history to stunting incidence in children aged 6-24 months in the working area of the Gunung Anyar community health center, Surabaya, Indonesia. Journal of Community Medicine and Public Health Research, 4(3): 123-129. https://doi.org/10.20473/jcmphr.v4i2.44661
[Google Scholar]
- Erika KA, Fadilah N, Latif AI, Hasbiah N, Juliaty A, Achmad H, and Bustamin A (2024). Stunting super app as an effort toward stunting management in Indonesia: Delphi and pilot study. JMIR Human Factors, 11: e54862. https://doi.org/10.2196/54862
[Google Scholar]
PMid:39688884 PMCid:PMC11668187
- Escher NA, Andrade GC, Ghosh-Jerath S, Millett C, and Seferidi P (2024). The effect of nutrition-specific and nutrition-sensitive interventions on the double burden of malnutrition in low-income and middle-income countries: A systematic review. The Lancet Global Health, 12(3): e419-e432. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00562-4
[Google Scholar]
PMid:38301666
- Ford ND and Stein AD (2016). Risk factors affecting child cognitive development: A summary of nutrition, environment, and maternal–child interaction indicators for sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease, 7(2): 197-217. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2040174415001427
[Google Scholar]
PMid:26358240 PMCid:PMC4800975
- Fristiwi P, Nugraheni SA, and Kartini A (2023). The effectiveness of stunting prevention programs in Indonesia: A systematic review. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA, 9(12): 1262-1273. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v9i12.5850
[Google Scholar]
- Gaston RT, Habyarimana F, and Ramroop S (2022). Joint modelling of anaemia and stunting in children less than five years of age in Lesotho: A cross-sectional case study. BMC Public Health, 22: 285. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-12690-3
[Google Scholar]
PMid:35148690 PMCid:PMC8840695
- Giao H, Le An P, Truong Vien N, Van Khanh T, and Quang Vinh B (2019). Stunting and overweight among 12‐24‐month‐old children receiving vaccination in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. BioMed Research International, 2019: 1547626. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/1547626
[Google Scholar]
PMid:30911539 PMCid:PMC6399549
- Hair JF, Hult GTM, Ringle CM, Sarstedt M, Danks NP, and Ray S (2021). An introduction to structural equation modeling. In: Hair JF, Hult GTM, Ringle CM, Sarstedt M, and Danks NP (Eds.), Partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) using R: A workbook: 1-29. Springer, Cham, Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-80519-7_1
[Google Scholar]
- Hamdani, Nasution DE, Nurlaili, Mustafa, and Ikhwani M (2024). The analysis of risk factors in toddlers on the occurrence of stunting in Pidie. South Eastern European Journal of Public Health, 24(S4): 1048–1056. https://doi.org/10.70135/seejph.vi.1437
[Google Scholar]
- Hasibuan AS, Nagari R, and Nisa RA (2024). Analisis prevalensi stunting menggunakan model spasial bayes dengan conditional autoregressive. Seminar Nasional Official Statistics, 2024(1): 1003-1010. https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2024i1.2095
[Google Scholar]
- Hossain MI, Islam MN, Mamun MASA, Bharati P, and Hossain MG (2023). Prevalence and risk factors of undernutrition among under-five children from 1990–2020: A systematic review and metaanalysis. International Journal of Statistical Sciences, 23(1): 71-80. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-7890-4_4
[Google Scholar]
PMCid:PMC11298280
- Kragel EA, Merz A, Flood DM, and Haven KE (2020). Risk factors for stunting in children under the age of 5 in rural Guatemalan highlands. Annals of Global Health, 86(1): 8. https://doi.org/10.5334/aogh.2433
[Google Scholar]
PMid:32064226 PMCid:PMC7006585
- Kusumawardani LH, Rachmawati U, Jauhar M, and Rohana IGAPD (2020). Community-based stunting intervention strategies: Literature review. Dunia Keperawatan: Jurnal Keperawatan dan Kesehatan, 8(2): 259-268. https://doi.org/10.20527/dk.v8i2.8555
[Google Scholar]
- Lansford JE (2022). Annual research review: Cross‐cultural similarities and differences in parenting. Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry, 63(4): 466-479. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcpp.13539
[Google Scholar]
PMid:34763373 PMCid:PMC8940605
- Li Z, Kim R, Vollmer S, and Subramanian SV (2020). Factors associated with child stunting, wasting, and underweight in 35 low-and middle-income countries. JAMA Network Open, 3(4): e203386. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.3386
[Google Scholar]
PMid:32320037 PMCid:PMC7177203
- Nurhasanah N, Juanita J, and Putra A (2024). Anxiety and diet among elderly people suffering from diabetes mellitus in Banda Aceh, Indonesia: A correlational study. International Journal of Advanced and Applied Sciences, 11(1): 123-128. https://doi.org/10.21833/ijaas.2024.01.015
[Google Scholar]
- Rahmadiyah DC, Sahar J, Widyatuti, Sartika RAD, and Hassan H (2024). Family resilience with stunted children aged below 5 years: A qualitative study in Depok City, Indonesia. Global Qualitative Nursing Research, 11: 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1177/23333936231221753
[Google Scholar]
PMid:38250089 PMCid:PMC10799585
- Riou J, Guyon H, and Falissard B (2016). An introduction to the partial least squares approach to structural equation modelling: A method for exploratory psychiatric research. International Journal of Methods in Psychiatric Research, 25(3): 220-231. https://doi.org/10.1002/mpr.1497
[Google Scholar]
PMid:26482420 PMCid:PMC6877219
- Roberts M, Tolar-Peterson T, Reynolds A, Wall C, Reeder N, and Rico Mendez G (2022). The effects of nutritional interventions on the cognitive development of preschool-age children: A systematic review. Nutrients, 14(3): 532. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu14030532
[Google Scholar]
PMid:35276891 PMCid:PMC8839299
- Saleh A, Syahrul S, Hadju V, Andriani I, and Restika I (2021). Role of maternal in preventing stunting: A systematic review. Gaceta Sanitaria, 35: S576-S582. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gaceta.2021.10.087
[Google Scholar]
PMid:34929905
- Shah SA and Phadke VD (2023). Mobile phone use by young children and parent's views on children's mobile phone usage. Journal of Family Medicine and Primary Care, 12(12): 3351-3355. https://doi.org/10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_703_23
[Google Scholar]
PMid:38361882 PMCid:PMC10866234
- Shamsuddin AS, Bakar WMAA, Ismail SNS, Jaafar NH, Yassin WM, and Norhizat M (2022). A review of spatial analysis application in childhood malnutrition studies. The Malaysian Journal of Medical Sciences, 29(5): 24-38. https://doi.org/10.21315/mjms2022.29.5.4
[Google Scholar]
PMid:36474532 PMCid:PMC9680994
- Shekar M, Kakietek J, D'Alimonte MR, Rogers HE, Eberwein JD, Akuoku JK, Pereira A, Soe-Lin S, and Hecht R (2017). Reaching the global target to reduce stunting: An investment framework. Health Policy and Planning, 32(5): 657-668. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czw184
[Google Scholar]
PMid:28453717 PMCid:PMC5406759
- Singrapati LR and Astuti ET (2024). Determinan prevalensi stunting di nusa tenggara tahun 2023. Seminar Nasional Official Statistics, 2024(1): 183-192. https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2024i1.2077
[Google Scholar]
- Stewart CP, Iannotti L, Dewey KG, Michaelsen KF, and Onyango AW (2013). Contextualising complementary feeding in a broader framework for stunting prevention. Maternal and Child Nutrition, 9: 27-45. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.12088
[Google Scholar]
PMid:24074316 PMCid:PMC6860787
- Sufri S, Iskandar I, Nurhasanah N, Bakri S, Jannah M, Rajuddin R, Nainggolan SI, Sirasa F, and Lassa JA (2024). Implementation outcomes of convergence action policy to accelerate stunting reduction in Pidie district, Aceh province, Indonesia: A qualitative study. BMJ Open, 14: e087432. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-087432
[Google Scholar]
PMid:39581709 PMCid:PMC11590851
- Sufri S, Nurhasanah, Jannah M, Dewi TP, Sirasa F, and Bakri S (2023). Child stunting reduction in Aceh Province: Challenges and a way ahead. Maternal and Child Health Journal, 27(5): 888-901. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10995-023-03601-y
[Google Scholar]
PMid:36732463 PMCid:PMC9894663
- Sunardia, Mulyob JH, Irhamb, and Jamharib (2023). Assessing brand switching level and behaviour of growing-up milk products in Java: A structural equation modeling and multigroup analysis. Heliyon, 9(5): e15969. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15969
[Google Scholar]
PMid:37251862 PMCid:PMC10220230
- Supadmi S, Laksono AD, Kusumawardani HD, Ashar H, Nursafingi A, Kusrini I, and Musoddaq MA (2024). Factor related to stunting of children under two years with working mothers in Indonesia. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health, 26: 101538. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cegh.2024.101538
[Google Scholar]
- Taslim NA, Farradisya S, Gunawan WB et al. (2023). The interlink between chrono-nutrition and stunting: Current insights and future perspectives. Frontiers in Nutrition, 10: 1303969. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2023.1303969
[Google Scholar]
PMid:38192646 PMCid:PMC10773880
- Vaivada T, Akseer N, Akseer S, Somaskandan A, Stefopulos M, and Bhutta ZA (2020). Stunting in childhood: An overview of global burden, trends, determinants, and drivers of decline. The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 112: 777S-791S. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/nqaa159
[Google Scholar]
PMid:32860401 PMCid:PMC7487433
- Vilcins D, Sly PD, and Jagals P (2018). Environmental risk factors associated with child stunting: A systematic review of the literature. Annals of Global Health, 84(4): 551-562. https://doi.org/10.29024/aogh.2361
[Google Scholar]
PMid:30779500 PMCid:PMC6748290
- WHO (2010). A conceptual framework for action on the social determinants of health. World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
[Google Scholar]
|